ponyboy wrote:JasonB wrote:The hundreds of thousands of folks who have tested positive in the last two weeks haven't had the 6+ weeks it takes to die (for the small percentage who will die).
Hundreds of thousands? Maybe you're talking in the U.S. as a whole? Exactly 105,647 have tested positive in the last two weeks in Texas. (Not that positive tests mean much of anything statistically). And why did you change your infection-to-death number from two weeks to six-plus? I'm continuing to use 3 weeks in my calculations.JasonB wrote:Our deaths per recovery rate in Texas is 2.5%. Way lower than NYC, Italy, and Wuhan from the beginning of the virus. But still not a good number at all.
Deaths per recovery? That number by definition is zero. I think you mean percent of deaths for those who contract COVID-19. That number is currently .183%. And, yes, it's continuing to fall day on day -- as it has since we've had good data.
Again, let me know if you want to see my calcs.JasonB wrote:Oh, and now we are finding out that immunity doesn't last. So that is awesome.
Source?
I hope my other post helped with the clarifications around the data.
https://www.theguardian.com/world/2020/ ... y-suggests
If you google it you can find references to this study itself, but there have been a lot of really small studies globally that are starting to point in the same direction, unfortunately.